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Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin Likely Found Its Bottom Near $80K

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Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin may have already put in its cycle bottom when prices dipped toward $80,000 last week. The cryptocurrency fell more than 35% from its all-time highs before finding support around $80,500, a level Hayes now views as a key floor.

In a series of posts on X, Hayes pointed to improving liquidity conditions in the United States as a major factor that could support Bitcoin and other risk assets in the coming weeks. He highlighted the Federal Reserve’s plan to end quantitative tightening next month, a shift that would halt balance-sheet contraction and gradually free up more liquidity across financial markets.

According to Hayes, small but noticeable improvements are already showing up. The Fed’s balance sheet is expected to stop shrinking this week, and U.S. bank lending rose in November — both signs, he said, that conditions may be easing after months of tightening.

Although Hayes expects Bitcoin to remain below $90,000 in the short term — with potential retests of the low-$80,000 area — he believes the market has likely seen the worst of its selling pressure. In his view, stronger liquidity typically benefits crypto markets, especially during periods when investors rotate back into risk assets.

Throughout the recent pullback, Hayes has repeated a consistent message: sustained strength in crypto requires the return of quantitative easing, not just temporary liquidity bumps. He also argued that a meaningful drop in major tech stocks, particularly AI-related names, may need to occur before a broad recovery in digital assets can take hold.

Market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy move have shifted dramatically in recent weeks. The CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 79% probability of a 0.25% rate cut at December’s meeting — up sharply from 42% only a week earlier — as traders grapple with uncertainty caused by the U.S. government shutdown and limited macroeconomic data.

Economist Mohamed El-Erian called the rapid swings in rate expectations “stunning,” saying they undermine the predictability the Fed normally maintains. He attributed the volatility to disrupted economic data and the central bank’s unclear communication strategy.

Despite the broader uncertainty, Hayes has maintained a broadly constructive outlook on Bitcoin since its October highs, underscoring his belief that improved liquidity — and eventually renewed monetary easing — remain essential for a sustained uptrend.

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Rezolve AI Acquires Subsquid, Strengthening Its Push Into AI–Blockchain Infrastructure

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Rezolve AI (NASDAQ: RZLV) has acquired Subsquid, a decentralized blockchain data platform, in a move that signals its expanding ambitions at the intersection of artificial intelligence, blockchain analytics, and digital payments.

The deal—announced through an official press release—brings Subsquid’s data indexing network, which serves more than 150 blockchain projects and processes over 5 million queries per day, under the Rezolve AI umbrella. Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed.

Building a Unified AI–Blockchain Data Layer

Rezolve AI described the acquisition as part of its plan to create a unified infrastructure that merges decentralized data, AI-powered automation, and digital-asset payment capabilities.
According to the company, the integration will bring together:

  • Blockchain data science
  • Decentralized data lakes
  • Digital-asset payment rails
    into what it calls an “intelligent commerce infrastructure.”

Subsquid’s technology is widely used across the DeFi ecosystem, indexing on-chain activity and supporting protocols with large Total Value Locked (TVL). Folding this infrastructure into Rezolve AI’s platform could influence how data-driven applications operate, particularly those reliant on fast, scalable indexing.

Industry Implications

The acquisition may have ripple effects across decentralized finance. Subsquid’s existing integrations make it a key backend provider for analytics dashboards, on-chain asset managers, and cross-chain applications. Any shift in service architecture or data routing at Rezolve AI could meaningfully affect partner protocols.

More broadly, the deal highlights the increasing convergence of AI and blockchain—a trend accelerating as Web3 applications lean more heavily on automated data processing, predictive modeling, and real-time analytics.

Looking Ahead

Rezolve AI says the acquisition positions it to expand its AI-driven commerce stack globally, pending regulatory approvals.
Past industry mergers involving data-infrastructure providers have often led to changes in service standards, developer tooling, and integration frameworks—suggesting similar stakeholder scrutiny here.

For now, Rezolve AI’s message is clear: it aims to place AI-native intelligence on top of blockchain-native data, creating a unified foundation for next-generation digital commerce.

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Jupiter’s Liquidity Pool Crosses $2 Billion TVL, Highlighting Growing Solana DeFi Momentum

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Jupiter’s JLP liquidity pool has reached a major milestone, surpassing $2 billion in Total Value Locked (TVL) as of September 7, 2025. The pool is currently offering an Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of 17.58%, drawing increased attention from both institutional and retail participants across the Solana ecosystem.

A Significant Benchmark for Solana DeFi

The $2 billion TVL level signals strong capital inflows and marks a notable step forward for Jupiter’s expanding footprint within decentralized finance. Higher liquidity not only strengthens the protocol’s depth but also supports smoother and more efficient trading for users across Solana.

While major institutions have not yet issued public comments on the milestone, the DeFi community on X has responded with clear enthusiasm. User discussions have largely framed the achievement as a sign of growing confidence in Jupiter’s design and the broader Solana-based derivatives ecosystem.

Historical Parallels Within Solana

This isn’t the first time such milestones have energized Solana’s DeFi sector. Earlier cycles—such as Raydium’s rapid TVL growth in 2021—were followed by spikes in on-chain activity and trading volume, reinforcing the connection between liquidity expansion and protocol growth.

JLP Continues Climbing With Strong Market Performance

According to CoinMarketCap data on September 7, 2025:

  • JLP Market Cap: $2.01 billion
  • 24H Trading Volume: $19.15 million
  • 90-Day Price Performance: +20.37%

These metrics underscore sustained momentum, with JLP’s price climbing steadily over the past quarter alongside rising participation in its liquidity programs.

What This Means for the Solana Ecosystem

Researchers at Coincu note that Jupiter’s latest milestone reflects a broader shift toward decentralized finance solutions offering high liquidity and competitive yields. As more users prioritize on-chain derivatives and flexible trading infrastructure, protocols like Jupiter are increasingly positioned to influence how liquidity is structured across Solana and potentially beyond.

Enhanced liquidity, strong APYs, and growing user engagement are setting the stage for further advancement—not only for Jupiter, but for Solana’s DeFi landscape as a whole.

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Binance Alpha Sees Airdrop Frenzy as Market Fear Intensifies

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Binance Alpha’s ecosystem saw a rare burst of activity this week, even as the broader crypto market pulled back. Alpha-related trading volume rose 2.35%, while total crypto market capitalization slid 2%, reflecting a sharp divergence in sentiment. Between Oct. 25–31, five new projects launched or revealed their airdrop plans — each with its own point thresholds and claim mechanics that sent users scrambling to qualify.

Projects such as SnapX, Common, Semantic Layer, Piggycell, and Kite entered the ecosystem, with Semantic Layer issuing 200-token airdrops to users holding 210+ Alpha Points. Meanwhile, APRO dominated the charts, soaring 260% in just seven days, followed by Tokenbot (+203%) and Pundi AI (+158%).

For many traders, the Alpha Points system has become a high-pressure sprint. Miss the airdrop window by an hour, and someone else secures the rewards. Wait for the point requirement to drop — and the entire pool may already be drained. The fast-moving mechanics have created a competitive, almost game-like environment around early-stage token launches.


TL;DR

  • Binance Alpha market cap: $18.09B
  • 24h Alpha trading volume: up 2.35% to $14.34B
  • Five new Alpha projects launched or announced between Oct. 25–31
  • Top gainers: APRO (+260%), Tokenbot (+203%), Pundi AI (+158%)
  • Airdrop thresholds: 210–227 Alpha Points, adjusted hourly if unclaimed
  • Fear & Greed Index: 31/100, but Alpha tokens show pockets of strength

Market Overview

The global crypto market fell to $3.67T, a 2% drop over 24 hours, sliding below both the 7-day ($3.76T) and 30-day ($3.8T) moving averages. Despite this, the Binance Alpha ecosystem held steady with an $18.09B market cap and rising trading volume.

Bitcoin ETFs added pressure across altcoins, recording $488M in net outflows on Oct. 30 — the largest single-day withdrawal since June 2025. BlackRock’s IBIT led the exodus with $291M in outflows, followed by ARKB with $65.6M.

Indicators paint a cautious macro picture.

  • RSI: 40.9 (leaning oversold)
  • MACD: remains negative
  • Bitcoin dominance: climbed to 58.3%
  • Derivatives open interest: declined 4.4% from $848B → $812B

As perpetual markets cooled — with open interest down 5% and funding rates slipping to -0.0018% — Alpha traders shifted toward airdrop-driven opportunities. Perpetual volumes spiked 21.96%, but it was spot market enthusiasm for early-stage Alpha tokens that kept momentum alive.

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