Crypto Currency
Bitcoin’s FOMC Pattern Signals a Defining 2025 as Markets Brace for December Rate Decision
Bitcoin’s price action throughout 2025 has been shaped almost entirely by the Federal Reserve’s policy cycle, creating a clear and repeatable pattern: sharp corrections following nearly every FOMC meeting. With the December rate decision approaching — and rate-cut expectations running high — markets are now watching to see whether Bitcoin will finally break its year-long reaction trend or repeat the post-FOMC downturn that has defined its behavior.
Despite a volatile year that saw Bitcoin explode toward $126,000 before fading back to the $90K region, the asset now sits almost exactly where it began 2025. Liquidity shifts, shifting macro sentiment, and aggressive repricing around Fed announcements have carved out a boom-and-fade structure that continues to weigh on short-term momentum.
FOMC Pattern Drives Bitcoin’s Recurring 2025 Volatility
A detailed breakdown shared by on-chain analyst Ali (@ali_charts) reveals the extent of Bitcoin’s FOMC-driven volatility. According to the data, six of seven Fed meetings in 2025 triggered immediate post-event declines, including the January, March, June, July, September, and October meetings. These corrections ranged from 6% to as high as 29%, forming one of the most consistent macro-reaction patterns in Bitcoin’s recent history.
The shaded event windows across Ali’s chart highlight identical behavior:
- Volatility spike →
- Price compression →
- Reassessment of risk as traders digest policy tone
Only May bucked the trend, with a 15% short-term rally triggered by what the market perceived as slightly more supportive guidance. The overall data underscores one theme — Bitcoin is reacting directly to expectations around liquidity and the Fed’s trajectory.
December’s FOMC Tests Optimism Against Policy Reality
Traders now look ahead to the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, where probability models suggest an 87.4% chance of a rate cut. Historically, Bitcoin’s reaction tends to sharpen during Powell’s 8:30 PM CET press conference, when forward guidance becomes clearer.
However, the 2025 pattern suggests that pre-event optimism often evaporates if the Fed fails to deliver a decisively dovish message. Every meeting this year has reset short-term structure, often through:
- Sudden volatility spikes
- Forced liquidations
- Failed breakout attempts
September produced a notable lower high, signaling weakening momentum well before Q4 began.
Whether December breaks this cycle will depend on whether policy communication confirms the easing narrative traders now expect.
Boom-and-Fade Structure Leaves Bitcoin Near Its Yearly Open
Bitcoin currently trades around $90,204, down 7.43% year-to-date, despite the explosive rally toward $126K earlier in October. The failure to sustain that breakout created a rounded-top pattern, pulling price back into the familiar $90K–$92K range.
Market context reflects a cooling environment:
- Total crypto market cap sits near $1.8 trillion
- 24-hour volume is rising, signaling increased reactive selling
- The volatility-to-market cap ratio (3.93%) highlights heightened sensitivity to macro triggers
CryptoPulse+ notes that Bitcoin’s net return for 2025 is just 0.8%, demonstrating how extreme volatility has masked the lack of true directional progress.
2025: A Year Defined by the Bitcoin–Fed Relationship
If this year has proven anything, it’s that Bitcoin’s macro correlation remains front-and-center. The repeated FOMC pattern shows how tightly Bitcoin tracks liquidity outlooks, with policy announcements dictating sentiment far more than on-chain fundamentals.
As the December decision approaches, investors now face the same question that has framed every 2025 meeting:
Will the Fed validate market optimism — or reset the cycle once again?
Bitcoin’s reaction may set the tone for early 2026.
Blockchain
Stripe and Paradigm Launch Tempo Blockchain, Bringing Zero-Fee Stablecoin Settlement to Global Payments
Stripe and Paradigm have officially launched the public beta of Tempo, a purpose-built blockchain designed to make stablecoin payments faster, cheaper, and more practical for businesses worldwide. Debuting on December 9, Tempo marks one of Stripe’s most ambitious moves into blockchain infrastructure, enabling enterprises to send and receive stablecoin transactions with near-zero cost — challenging traditional financial rails and existing blockchain networks alike.
Tempo’s rollout comes with support from heavyweight partners including UBS, Cross River Bank, Deutsche Bank, and OpenAI, signaling early confidence from both fintech and banking leaders.
A New Era for Stablecoin Payments
Tempo introduces a breakthrough fee structure: zero-fee stablecoin settlement and a fixed transaction cost of just 0.1 cents. This removes the unpredictability of gas fees, making the network especially valuable for industries that rely on high-volume, low-margin transactions such as:
- Cross-border remittances
- Merchant payments
- Real-time micropayments
- API-driven financial applications
By eliminating gas volatility, Tempo positions itself as a scalable payment layer capable of supporting real-world financial operations — an area where many existing blockchains still struggle.
Matt Huang, co-founder of Paradigm, noted that Tempo fills a critical market gap: a blockchain engineered specifically for stablecoins and real-world payments, combining Stripe’s global payments expertise with Paradigm’s blockchain engineering strengths.
Industry Impact and Early Reactions
The launch of Tempo has attracted immediate attention from the financial and crypto industries. Early partners are already integrating the network into their payment flows, and analysts say Tempo could pressure both traditional banking systems and existing blockchain infrastructures to evolve.
Industry observers highlight several major implications:
- Dramatically lower fees could accelerate enterprise adoption of stablecoins.
- Predictable pricing opens the door for automated, high-frequency transactions.
- Real-world payment orientation makes Tempo competitive against both fintech services and L1/L2 blockchains.
- Scalability and consistency may encourage banks and global corporations to adopt on-chain settlement for the first time.
While community sentiment is still forming, early reactions acknowledge Tempo’s potential to redefine how stablecoins are used across global commerce.
Tempo, USDC, and the Stablecoin Ecosystem
Tempo’s launch arrives as stablecoins continue gaining traction in global finance. USDC, one of the primary stablecoins expected to move across the network, currently maintains a $78.49B market cap with strong 24-hour volume and stable market activity.
Experts note that Tempo’s architecture — built with Reth for full EVM compatibility — allows businesses to integrate existing smart-contract tools while benefiting from a regulated, enterprise-grade settlement environment. Coincu analysts emphasize that Tempo’s structured approach may enhance stablecoin transport efficiency, creating a more seamless pathway for businesses moving digital dollars across borders.
A Major Step for Stripe’s Blockchain Strategy
Tempo represents Stripe’s most comprehensive blockchain initiative to date, evolving from earlier stablecoin experiments into a fully integrated payment infrastructure. The company now competes directly with major stablecoin and settlement networks while offering a distinctive advantage: Stripe-grade developer tools and global payment expertise, now applied to on-chain money movement.
With a growing roster of corporate adopters and a strong technical foundation, Tempo may become one of the most influential blockchain products for enterprise stablecoin adoption.
Crypto Currency
ETH Whales Scoop Up 934K Tokens in 3 Weeks as Retail Sells — What This Divergence Signals for Ethereum’s Next Move
Ethereum’s largest holders have quietly shifted the market narrative over the past three weeks. While retail traders panic-sold small amounts of ETH, whales and sharks accumulated nearly a million tokens — a move that has already helped stabilize price action and spark a rebound, according to new on-chain data from Santiment.
This widening divergence between large and small holders has historically served as a powerful signal of trend reversals. And once again, the pattern appears to be repeating.
Whales and Sharks Accumulate 934,240 ETH — Retail Sells 1,041 ETH
Fresh data from Santiment shows a massive accumulation wave among Ethereum’s biggest holders. Wallets holding between 100 and 100,000 ETH added approximately 934,240 ETH over the past three weeks — a huge increase that unfolded while volatility cooled and price decline slowed.
At the same time, retail wallets holding fewer than 10 ETH collectively sold 1,041 ETH, highlighting a stark divergence in sentiment between sophisticated and smaller traders.
Historically, such divergence often precedes short-term rallies, trend reversals, or market inflection points, making the current setup especially noteworthy.
Whale Balances Rise as Volatility Falls
Santiment’s analysis shows that whale and shark balances climbed steadily heading into early December. This accumulation phase aligned with:
- A slowdown in Ethereum’s recent downtrend
- Reduced volatility
- A gradual rebound in price
As large buyers stepped in, sell pressure weakened, allowing ETH to recover more easily. These behavior patterns often signal informed positioning rather than short-term speculation.
Retail Exits While Institutions Position Strategically
Retail traders, by contrast, showed the opposite behavior. Wallets with fewer than 10 ETH recorded net outflows of 1,041 ETH, reflecting uncertainty and risk aversion during recent market turbulence.
This kind of split between retail fear and whale accumulation has historically hinted at a shift in momentum. Whales tend to accumulate during periods of undervaluation, exploiting sentiment-driven selloffs to strengthen long-term positions.
What This Could Mean for Ethereum’s Price
Analysts note that Ethereum’s recent rebound lines up closely with the three-week accumulation period. If whales continue this pace, ETH may find:
- A stronger price floor
- More consistent upward pressure
- Improved stability as supply tightens
The market’s reaction suggests that the supply-demand imbalance created by large holders absorbing liquidity is already influencing price recovery.
While this does not guarantee a breakout, it reinforces a familiar pattern: whales accumulate before major trends shift.
The Bigger Picture
The current trend looks less like speculation and more like strategic positioning by long-term players. Combined with improving market structure and reduced volatility, Ethereum may be entering a more favorable phase — assuming large holders continue to build their stacks.
For retail investors, the takeaway is simple: whale behavior often leads the market, and right now, whales are buying aggressively.
Crypto
Meteora’s Bold $10M Token Buyback: A Masterstroke for MET’s Future?
Meteora just made one of its strongest strategic moves yet — and the entire DeFi sector is taking notice. The team has officially executed a massive $10 million buyback of its native MET token, signaling not just financial strength, but a long-term vision that could reshape the project’s trajectory. Rather than a simple market maneuver, this decision sends a powerful message: Meteora believes deeply in MET’s future value, and it’s willing to invest heavily to reinforce that belief.
Inside Meteora’s $10 Million Buyback Strategy
According to Meteora’s announcement on X, the project deployed 10 million USDC from its treasury to acquire MET tokens directly from the open market in Q4. This buyback alone represented a substantial 2.3% of MET’s circulating supply, instantly reducing available liquidity. Even more notable is the team’s pledge to continue buybacks over time, transforming what could have been a standalone move into a potential long-term tokenomics strategy. This sustained approach suggests the team considers MET significantly undervalued and aims to strengthen fundamentals through deliberate supply reduction.
Why Would a Project Buy Back Its Own Tokens?
Token buybacks aren’t just corporate-style financial engineering — they’re a direct signal of belief, stability, and alignment with the community. Meteora’s decision checks all the boxes:
• Demonstrates Strong Financial Health: Only a project with a well-capitalized treasury can confidently redeploy $10 million. This boosts credibility among investors and longtime supporters.
• Signals Market Undervaluation: It’s a bold message: “We think MET is worth more, and we’re backing that belief with real capital.”
• Reduces Circulating Supply: Fewer tokens in the market can support upward price action, especially if demand stays the same or grows.
• Rewards Long-Term Holders: By tightening supply and supporting token value, early believers benefit the most.
In essence, a buyback becomes a tool of value redistribution and community alignment — a way to show supporters that the project is committed to long-term sustainability.
Potential Impacts — and the Challenges Ahead
The immediate impact is clear: confidence is up. When a project invests in its own token, it becomes a strong bullish signal, reducing fear-driven selling and encouraging longer holding periods. Ongoing buybacks can also create a psychological and practical price floor, as the treasury itself becomes a recurring buyer.
But sustainability is the key challenge. Meteora must balance its buyback strategy with the need to maintain a healthy treasury for development, audits, security, grants, and future growth. A buyback is most effective when paired with strong token utility — meaning MET’s value shouldn’t rely solely on supply reduction. Market watchers will be focused on whether user demand rises in tandem with this new supply strategy.
What This Means for MET Holders
For current holders, this move sets a new baseline for Meteora’s tokenomics strategy. With the promise of ongoing buybacks, periodic positive demand shocks may become part of MET’s long-term narrative. Moving forward, two signals matter most:
1. Treasury sustainability: Ensuring buybacks don’t hinder development.
2. Real ecosystem utility: Watching how MET is integrated into DeFi products, incentives, and platform functions.
A buyback may spark momentum, but lasting value comes from adoption, real usage, and consistent delivery.
Conclusion: A Confident Step Toward the Future
Meteora’s $10 million buyback is more than a market move — it’s a bold declaration of confidence. It proves the project is fiscally sound, deeply committed to its tokenholders, and ready to take an active role in shaping MET’s long-term value. By transparently managing its treasury and token supply, Meteora sets a strong example for DeFi projects aiming to align incentives and build durable ecosystems. Whether you’re a MET holder or a DeFi observer, this buyback is a case study worth watching.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Q: What is a token buyback?
A token buyback occurs when a project uses treasury funds to repurchase its own tokens, reducing supply and signaling confidence in the asset’s value.
Q: How might this buyback impact MET’s price?
Reduced supply combined with stable or rising demand can create upward price pressure, while boosting investor sentiment at the same time.
Q: Where did the $10 million come from?
The funds likely originated from Meteora’s treasury, which typically receives revenue from protocol fees, token allocations, and other ecosystem-generated income.
Q: Will the repurchased tokens be burned?
Meteora hasn’t specified yet. Tokens could be burned, held, or redeployed for future initiatives like rewards, incentives, or grants.
Q: What does removing 2.3% of supply mean for holders?
Every remaining holder now owns a slightly larger slice of the total token supply, increasing the relative value of each MET token.
Q: Should I buy MET because of this announcement?
This isn’t financial advice. A buyback is a strong signal, but always DYOR and evaluate fundamentals, roadmap, and risks before investing.
-
Crypto3 years agoCardalonia Aiming To Become The Biggest Metaverse Project On Cardano
-
Press Release5 years agoP2P2C BREAKTHROUGH CREATES A CONNECTION BETWEEN ETM TOKEN AND THE SUPER PROFITABLE MARKET
-
Blockchain5 years agoWOM Protocol partners with CoinPayments, the world’s largest cryptocurrency payments processor
-
Press Release5 years agoETHERSMART DEVELOPER’S VISION MADE FINTECH COMPANY BECOME DUBAI’S TOP DIGITAL BANK
-
Press Release5 years agoProject Quantum – Decentralised AAA Gaming
-
Blockchain5 years agoWOM Protocol Recommended by Premier Crypto Analyst as only full featured project for August
-
Press Release5 years agoETHERSMART DEVELOPER’S VISION MADE FINTECH COMPANY BECOME DUBAI’S TOP DIGITAL BANK
-
Blockchain6 years ago1.5 Times More Bitcoin is purchased by Grayscale Than Daily Mined Coins
