Why is Bitcoin Price Falling Down?

Bitcoin price as recently experienced a significant downturn, briefly slumping below $63,000 after reaching a record high of $73,000 just last week.

This sharp decline marks a pivotal moment in the cryptocurrency’s performance, shedding more than $10,000 from its all-time high and signaling a potential shift in market dynamics.

Several factors contributed to the quick rise to $73,679, including the successful introduction of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. and a surge in investor interest. However, the subsequent correction has raised questions about the sustainability of its rally and the underlying factors contributing to its volatility.

Several causes contributed to the downturn, including traders taking profits following Bitcoin’s significant 70% increase from the beginning of the year to its high.

This profit-taking has led to a spike in long liquidations of leveraged Bitcoin positions, with significant liquidations occurring across centralized exchanges.

The introduction of spot bitcoin ETFs, while initially contributing to the rally, has also played a role in the increased leverage and high-frequency volatility observed in the market.

As investors and analysts warn of more volatile price action in March, the recent pullback from Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend has become a focal point for market participants.

Moreover, the broader cryptocurrency market has felt the ripple effects of Bitcoin’s decline, with other major cryptocurrencies such as Ether and Solana experiencing notable losses.

The interconnectedness of the cryptocurrency market means that movements in Bitcoin often have a significant impact on altcoins and related stocks.

Understanding the elements driving Bitcoin’s price, such as supply and demand dynamics, regulatory changes, and investor attitude, becomes increasingly important when the market experiences volatility.

The recent downturn serves as a reminder of the inherent volatility and risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies, prompting investors to exercise caution and closely monitor market trends.

Analyzing Bitcoin Recent Price Drop: Economic Pressures and Market Dynamics

Bitcoin’s value has experienced a notable decline, dropping to $63,500, marking its lowest point in the past two weeks. This 6% decrease on Tuesday is attributed to a combination of factors, including recent U.S. inflation data and significant outflows from the Grayscale ETF, which have contributed to a broader market correction.

Market Liquidations and ETF Outflows

The futures market has seen substantial liquidations, totaling $655.44 million, with Bitcoin and Ethereum positions being the most affected. According to Coinglass, “In the last 24 hours, 240,997 traders have been liquidated, with total liquidations amounting to $655.44 million. The largest single settlement order occurred on OKX – BTC-USDT-SWAP for $12.25 million.”

Grayscale ETF has faced one of its largest daily outflows in history, with 9,539 BTC withdrawn. Despite BlackRock’s acquisition of 6,703 bitcoins, the overall balance for the day was negative by 2,293 bitcoins. This outflow has not only increased selling pressure but also potentially alarmed other market participants. BitMex reported, “Bitcoin ETF outflow – March 18, 2024. GBTC outflow at $643 million,” highlighting the significant impact of these movements on the market.

Economic Factors Influencing Bitcoin Price

The U.S. economy’s struggle to achieve its 2% annual inflation target has raised concerns among investors. With expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve not materializing, fears are growing that rates will remain between 5.25 and 5.5% for an extended period. This economic pressure has not only affected Bitcoin but also other assets like gold, which has seen a 2% decline over the week.

Investors are anxiously awaiting the next Fed meeting, scheduled for Wednesday, anticipating potential negative remarks from Jerome Powell and his team. Bitcoin’s significant drop, attributed to its well-known volatility, underscores the market’s sensitivity to economic indicators and central bank policies.

Scott Melker, expressing his concerns, stated, “Fundamentally, with ETF interest and the cycle increasing, I want to believe that we will go much, much higher. However, most of the key signs I would normally look for when not in FOMO are present,” highlighting the market’s current state of uncertainty.

Broader Cryptocurrency Market Impact

Following Bitcoin’s downturn, other cryptocurrencies have also suffered losses. Ethereum, despite its recent Dencun update, has lost around $800 over the week, trading at $3,200. Meme coins such as Dogwifhat (WIF) and Bonk (BONK) have experienced significant declines, alongside more established projects like Jupiter (JUP), Worldcoin (WLD), and Solana (SOL).

As the market navigates through these turbulent times, investors are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s support levels, the outcomes of the upcoming Fed meeting, and ETF flows. Despite the short-term challenges, the long-term uptrend remains a protective factor for those invested in the cryptocurrency space.